Russia's war relies on aid from one particular country (newsukraine.rbc.ua)
from Sepia@mander.xyz to world@lemmy.world on 13 Feb 13:00
https://mander.xyz/post/47379300

cross-posted from: mander.xyz/post/47379227

Russia has been able to continue its full-scale war against Ukraine largely due to extensive support from a specific country, according to a publication by Clash Report.

…

Despite public statements about aid from other countries, it is China’s resources that … have been the decisive factor for the Kremlin.

Former head of British intelligence MI6, Richard Moore, stated that it was Beijing that provided Moscow with the most significant support during the war.

According to him, China’s contribution far exceeds that of Iran or North Korea, even though these countries are more frequently mentioned in the media due to weapons deliveries and personnel.

“I am absolutely certain that Putin would have already lost without the support from China that he received. Headlines often focus on North Korea providing approximately 12,000 troops for the battle near Kursk, or Iran supplying drone technology,” Moore said.

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The report shows that US support in 2025 fell by nearly 99% compared to the average for 2022–2024. Whereas the United States had previously allocated billions annually in military, financial, and humanitarian aid, 2025 saw a 99% drop in assistance.

There was only one “symbolic” military support package worth approximately €0.4 billion, and no new major financial or humanitarian commitments were recorded.

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Against the backdrop of the steep reduction in US aid, European countries significantly expanded their contributions:

  • military assistance from Europe increased by 67%.

  • Financial and humanitarian support rose by 59%.

As a result, the overall volume of international aid to Ukraine in 2025 remained close to the levels of previous years, despite the sharp decline in support from the United States.

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One of the key tools was the introduction of the PURL (Prioritized Ukraine Requirement List) mechanism, through which around 75% of missiles for Patriot systems and nearly 90% of ammunition for other air defense systems were funded by European partners in 2025.

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Forecasts for 2026 are optimistic thanks to the new EU Ukraine Support Fund, totaling €90 billion. Of this, €60 billion is earmarked specifically for supporting Ukraine’s defense industry, enabling the country to become more autonomous in weapons production.

Japan intends to join a NATO initiative allowing the supply of ammunition, equipment, and other US-made resources to Ukraine.

Additionally, in mid-January 2026, Albania joined the PURL initiative.

By the end of December 2025, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that more than 20 countries had joined the PURL initiative, specifically, 24.

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Sepia@mander.xyz on 13 Feb 13:28 next collapse

In a letter to the Financial Times entitled “The scenario that economic warfare experts fear the most” was enlightening, Eric Golson, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Surrey int the UK, provides valuable insights about why China support Russia, and possible consequences as well as necessary reactions by the UK and West:

… Despite the public displays of unity between Xi and Putin, China has a vested interest in a prolonged conflict. Like the US, it benefits from a weakened Russia, allowing Beijing to expand its geopolitical influence while Moscow remains distracted and depleted.

The scenario which concerns economic warfare specialists most is a Russian failure in Ukraine followed by internal Russian fragmentation, continuing the imperial disintegration that began in 1991. In that event, China could expand north and east, extending influence into oil and gas-rich regions such as Kamchatka, Sakhalin and parts of the Sakha region. These are territories China once held under the Qing dynasty. Control of this energy would strengthen China’s global position and reduce its vulnerability to pressure over Taiwan and the South China Sea. This is a plausible outcome if the Ukraine war drags on, yet there is little evidence of serious contingency planning in Whitehall or Washington … [Archived]

A_A@lemmy.world on 13 Feb 16:51 collapse

The idea that China only supports ruSSia to weaken it and overtake part of its territory would imply that it will (soon?) drop support … i am eager to see that happen as soon as possible.

Sepia@mander.xyz on 13 Feb 17:50 collapse

I firmly believe that China wants both a weak Russia and a weak Europe, or at least a Europe that is distracted by the Ukraine war. Beijing wants the war to prolong as long as it gets, but they don’t want neither side to win imo.

gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works on 13 Feb 14:26 collapse

To save you a click, the country is China

CannonFodder@lemmy.world on 13 Feb 14:56 collapse

Thanks. I had guessed Tuvalu.

Dionysus@leminal.space on 13 Feb 15:30 collapse

I thought it was one of the 70 islands Trump just cancelled all visa processing from.