U.S. Has Attacked Iran's Nuclear Facilities (www.twz.com)
from BombOmOm@lemmy.world to world@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 00:22
https://lemmy.world/post/31789842

#world

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WizardofFrobozz@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 00:31 next collapse

Can’t wait for all the Americans who haven’t done a thing to stop him or to fight his voter base to show up and loudly proclaim that they don’t support this.

Will also get a nice shitty side of “well what do you EXPECT me to DO?”

Theprogressivist@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 00:40 next collapse

Congratulations on having the stupidest comment so far. You should be proud.

catloaf@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 00:44 next collapse

It was the only comment, so unfortunately also the most ingenious.

WizardofFrobozz@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 00:54 collapse

Come on, at least call me a keyboard warrior. You guys are going off-script.

H4CK3RN4M3D4N63R570RM@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 12:13 collapse

It IS probably their script! You can tell reddit is going down when their toxicity makes it’s way over here.

HugeNerd@lemmy.ca on 23 Jun 02:54 collapse

it’s means “it is”. You wanted “its”. Must be the lead.

H4CK3RN4M3D4N63R570RM@lemmy.ca on 23 Jun 11:55 collapse

Your right! They’re must be alot’ve brain in my lead. Thank’s for helping! 👍

HugeNerd@lemmy.ca on 23 Jun 18:37 collapse

you couldn’t of said it better

KMAMURI@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 00:53 next collapse

Give them a break, a new season of oligarchs housewives just started and it’s not like they can just not go to work. They’ll be out next month on Saturday.

WizardofFrobozz@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 00:54 collapse

If the weather is nice, and, you know, if they can get all the proper permits for their parade.

PM_ME_VINTAGE_30S@lemmy.sdf.org on 22 Jun 01:33 next collapse

Bret McGurk was literally just on CNN… BIDEN’S GUY!.. and basically endorsed the strikes. NOTHING WOULD HAVE CHANGED IF WE VOTED FOR HARRIS. WHEN WILL YOU GET THIS THROUGH YOUR THICK FUCKING SKULL?!?

WizardofFrobozz@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 01:59 next collapse

Cool, guess you’ve done all you can. Great work. Sit back, have a coke, watch tv. Be very proud of all you’ve accomplished.

[deleted] on 22 Jun 02:23 next collapse
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PM_ME_VINTAGE_30S@lemmy.sdf.org on 22 Jun 04:01 collapse

Okay mods I’ll be civil this time. Since voting does nothing positive and only serves as a cudgel for politicians to claim that they legitimately represent their subjects, then if you only voted, it is slightly more useless than doing literally nothing.

Mannimarco@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 02:23 collapse

You keep telling yourself that

[deleted] on 22 Jun 02:26 next collapse
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Mannimarco@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 02:28 collapse

You think Harris would have ignored the constitution like that? Sure buddy

PM_ME_VINTAGE_30S@lemmy.sdf.org on 22 Jun 02:33 collapse

OF COURSE I DO!!!

EVERY administration since the establishment of this country has wiped its ass with the text of the Constitution!

PM_ME_VINTAGE_30S@lemmy.sdf.org on 22 Jun 04:04 collapse

Okay mods I’ll be civil. I basically said “I saw it (what this person is responding to) with my own eyes.”

Carmakazi@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 02:23 collapse

The only reason you people care so strongly is because of the “51st state” crap. You’re the same small, scared little people that every American is, that any person is, really.

If you think upending your life to start an insurgency on behalf of other people, people on the other side of the planet even, should be expected behavior, why don’t you slide on down here and show us how it’s done? Let’s see your face and a body count on CNN.

Anonymaus@feddit.org on 22 Jun 13:11 next collapse

Excuses, excuses, excuses

Lumisal@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:18 collapse

Imagine having the gall to not only say you won’t fix your problems, but then call on others to go and fix it as well.

Americans really are the laziest people.

cyberpunk007@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 01:05 next collapse

What’s next? Launching a war against the Ukraine to please Putin?

You dumb fucking orange man.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 01:19 next collapse

…do you think Putin wants Iran to be bombed?

UnderFreyja@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 01:53 next collapse

Do you think Trump didn’t ask permission to his master before bombing Iran?

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 02:00 collapse

Netanyahu?

Although it’s not like Trump is some puppet on a string. The whole US government wants war with Iran and it has for my entire life. There doesn’t need to be some secret master behind this (Israel, Russia, whatever)

UnderFreyja@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 03:01 next collapse

Lol Netanyahu is not Trump’s master, he’s his business buddy.

The guy thinks like an 80s caricature of a business man. He wants to build resorts in Gaza so he cozies up with Israel. Plus there’s oil and natural gas in Iran. Iran is a friend of China which Trump desperately wants to look strong against.

He doesn’t care about Israel or Palestinians (or anyone for that matter) he couldn’t give two shits. If the roles were reversed, he would cozy up to the power in charge.

I’m not saying he’s a great strategist, I think he goes with the opportunities and jumps on them when he can and he takes a lot of miscalculated risks, exactly like he run his other businesses.

But one thing for sure, he asked Putin before he did launched his pew pews on Iran.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 04:07 collapse

Do you think Biden wouldn’t have done the exact same thing to “defend” Israel?

This is clearly about Israel and the long-time desire for war with Iran in the US government. Blaming Russia is, frankly, absurd.

Trump certainly would like to have Putin as a business buddy, he’s an 80’s deals guy after all, but there’s no business here that benefits Russia so that’s also absurd. Russia does not benefit from Iran’s collapse. This is very bad for Russia.

UnderFreyja@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 05:04 next collapse

I’m not blaming Russia, I’m not saying Dems were not gonna side with Israel. You asked if Putin wanted the strikes on Iran. I’m saying there’s no way he wasn’t on board.

Does he like it? I don’t know but one thing for sure is he knew about the strikes and agreed to them. With all that Trump did to benefit Putin up till then, no way in hell he didn’t ask permission to do that move…

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 05:11 collapse

And I’m saying there’s no way Putin wants Iran to be bombed, and so therefore this was done without his permission or knowledge.

torrentialgrain@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 06:49 collapse

Biden wouldn’t have voided and left the Iran nuclear agreement (that he himself helped to negotiate and put in place) though, which was the stone that got all of this rolling in the first place.

mineralfellow@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 04:02 next collapse

Anybody else remember Cheyney singing “bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran?”

WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 06:24 collapse

Yup. When have established powers ever liked a revolutionary government? We don’t have to like the type of revolution Iran underwent to acknowledge that it was a radical revolutionary government in the literal sense of the term. No country on Earth has a form of government like Iran’s. It’s pretty unique. Any time a decent sized country tries is taken over by revolutionaries who attempt a radically new form of government, they receive immense opposition from the old powers. All of Europe declared war on France for chopping the head off their king. Every western government embargoed the people Haiti for daring to violently overthrow their slavers. An expeditionary army of numerous capitalist powers invaded the nascent Soviet Union to try and shut it down. And Iran has been under massive sanctions since they dared to throw their western-backed dictator out by force.

Established powers always try to clamp down on any kind of revolutionary government. It’s not that they fear the government itself; they fear the ideas that government represents. Iran needed to be punished. It needed to be embargoed into poverty. They couldn’t just let Iran try out its new form of government and let them sort themselves out. Because if Iran can overthrow a western-backed puppet and seize control over their own natural resources? Well that’s an idea that could spread far and wide.

perestroika@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 13:03 collapse

After existing since 1979, Iran’s government is pretty far from “revolutionary”. In fact, looking at their domestic policy, I’ll call them reactionary without a second thought.

Their most “revolutionary” thought probably was: “let’s export our theocracy to other lands”.

They are a symptom however. The shah was so unpopular (read: repressive) that islamists were able to take over. The shah was propped up by the UK and US in the 1950-ties, in a coup, because Iran nationalized oil industries.

redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 01:57 collapse

Strangely yes. This jacks up the price of oil in a way that doesn’t dirty Putin’s hands. It’s a bit of a weird play but makes some sense.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 02:07 next collapse

Iran is a major trade partner and an important partner in the Ukraine War and they were both important allies of Assad and worked closely together in Syria. They have deep ties. There’s no way the price of oil is worth losing one of their key allies in the region.

redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 02:55 next collapse

Why not? They have strategic value sure but Russia is nearly bankrupt, Iran for an extra year or two of solvency makes sense to me. Further weakens the US too.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 03:40 collapse

It told you why not! Because Iran is an important regional ally and business partner and military asset.

Russia sacrificing an ally like this for something as paltry as “gas prices” would be short-sighted in the extreme.

Although since you seem to think Russia is “nearly bankrupt” and that this only buys them “an extra year or two” that explains why you don’t think this matters.

redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 05:25 collapse

Yeah the condescending really explained your point. Import export numbers, critical resources only Iran provides Russia, strategic geographic and political value. You really covered it all in those… 3 sentences formatted as paragraphs. Worthless. Down vote me if you failed econ 1.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 05:42 collapse

Jesus do you want me to write you an essay?

I will say they just entered a new 20-year bilateral trade and military cooperation treaty on Jan 17th of this year, which is hardly something Russia would do if they were willing to just destroy Iran in a few months. They did this because trade between the countries has risen sharply due to the sanctions against Russia, and that’s not going away any time soon so it would be foolish to sacrifice them at this stage. Then there’s the suspected missiles and drones that Iran has been (possibly) supplying Russia for its war with Ukraine, and blowing them up would disrupt that supply line.

But if you’re determined to believe Russia wants Iran to be bombed, I won’t be able to stop you.

redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 11:56 collapse

You wanna go look at those numbers or you gonna keep bullshitting based on articles you skimmed? Like I’m aware of the trade and the drones. I’m also aware of Russia’s oil exports and their ghost fleet selling to India and others.

Here’s a list of Russia’s trading partners with numbers. Notice how Iran isn’t even top 10? Do I need to break down what they’re exporting to Germany or do you get it now? And this ignores India BTW.

…wikipedia.org/…/List_of_the_largest_trading_part…

Strait of Hormuz shuts and that’s gravy for Russian, especially with the Artic ocean melting. Congrads though, now I think you’re a drop out.

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 03:34 collapse

If Iran gets their own nukes, then Russia loses a big bargaining chip.

Honestly, that’s probably the only reason why nukes weren’t used.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 03:41 collapse

If Iran gets their own nukes, one of Russia’s most important allies in the region is safe from attack. That seems a lot more useful than a “bargaining chip”. Now, Russia risks losing an important ally and whatever bargaining chip they may have had.

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 03:44 collapse

You’re reading the play like Russia wants an ally.

What they want is a dependent.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 04:04 next collapse

Only empires can have dependency, Russia isn’t nearly that strong. Russia needs allies or it will be overwhelmed.

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 04:16 next collapse

Glances at Belarus

Yeah. Okay.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 04:48 collapse

Belarus has basically been driven out of the European economy, but that’s hardly something Russia did. If Russia has become an empire and Belarus has lost its sovereignty it’s because Europe decided to force the issue. Bad move, I guess?

Or maybe Belarus and Russia are just allies and they’re working together like normal allies do.

Either way, comparing this to Iran is absurd! Iran has ten times the population. Plus, China is right there. It wouldn’t work.

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 05:48 next collapse

It wouldn’t work.

Look at that, it’s working.

Plus, China is right there.

I think you should look at a map sometime. Unless you are taking about Russia-China relations, but that doesn’t seem to be the context here.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 06:04 collapse

Look at that, it’s working.

What’s working? Iran isn’t any more dependent on Russia than it was before the strikes.

I think you should look at a map sometime. Unless you are taking about Russia-China relations, but that doesn’t seem to be the context here.

There are just as many countries between Iran and Russia as there are between Iran and China, I don’t see why Iran would have to allow itself to be dependent on Russia when China is just as close. Granted, Russia and Iran border the Caspian Sea so they can access each others’ ports, but Iran also has ocean coast so it can access Chinese ports as well. In terms of raw numbers, Iran’s exports to China value $4.59B and imports value $10B. Trade with Russia, by comparison, is $1.9B. Total.

China is actually a closer economic partner with Iran than Russia is, so why wouldn’t Iran be able to turn to China?

Also, Iran is a founding member of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. Also also, Iran is an observer member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, and looks to be in the process to become a full member eventually.

Also also also, Taiwan condemned Iran’s strikes against Israel, so you know they’re tight with China lol

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 06:21 collapse

There are just as many countries between Iran and Russia as there are between Iran and China…

Then why would you say China is “right there” as an argument.

Also, the premise is not that Iran is a puppet state of Russia, but that they are dependent on Russia for security from other nuclear-armed countries. Russia doesn’t want Iran to get nukes because they lose that valuable bargaining chip.

Let’s sum up your arguments so far.

You think that Russia can’t maintain control over other nations, and I provided a direct refutation of that.

You think that China was geographically closer to Iran than Russia was, and that is refuted with Google maps.

You need to take a look at the players, their motivations and the “board” and then come back with an actual assessment instead of plainly incorrect and unfounded opinions

torrentialgrain@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 06:47 collapse

I agree with most of the points you’re raising in this thread but Belarus is definitely a Russian puppet state more so than a conventional ally.

grue@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 04:39 next collapse

But Russia thinks it’s an empire and acts accordingly, reality be damned.

queermunist@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 04:51 collapse

So you think they’re stupid.

belastend@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 07:10 collapse

I don’t agree with the guy, but Russia has dependencies both in central Asia and in Europe. Without Russia’s support, the current regimes in Turkmenistan, Belarus and Transnistria would not survive.

Iran, however, isn’t one, as you said.

BakerBagel@midwest.social on 22 Jun 04:29 next collapse

Iran supplies an absolute shit ton of military supplies to Russia.

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 04:35 collapse

Yeah. You think Russia is doing shit for free?

WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 06:16 collapse

Russia is a real country run by actual human beings. They’re not Mordor with a dark lord commanding an army of orcs. And Russia wants allies. They’re up against a vast global US-lead alliance system. Of course they want allies.

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 06:25 next collapse

Would have been easy enough for them to be allies with Ukraine, but they didn’t do that, did they?

No, they want dependents. Allies have a choice. Dependents have an illusion of choice.

Anonymaus@feddit.org on 22 Jun 12:39 collapse

Yeah but usa is russia’s ally

torrentialgrain@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 06:44 next collapse

Thinning some of the most geopolitically misinformed shit I’ve read in a while, congratulations.

redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 11:39 collapse

Great rebuttle. Really drove home your point with facts and evidence. Oh no sorry, didn’t get bogged down with those… Or post any, or even a differing opinion. Just the snide of… Did you by chance drop out of school?

neukenindekeuken@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 12:48 collapse

Plus the whole world destabilization thing

happydoors@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 13:29 collapse

Who would stop him?

No_Ones_Slick_Like_Gaston@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 01:06 next collapse

Never thought I live to see someone fuck up worse than Bush Jr.

He just got the US into a war where there’s nothing to gain, zero upsides other than bending the k we to Israel.

ClydapusGotwald@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 02:44 next collapse

We are only 6 months in…… fuck us

Bytemeister@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 03:32 next collapse

Musta missed 2019 when the US was caught with their pants down during a global pandemic, despite having a pandemic plan in place just a few years prior. Ultimately ended up killing over a million Americans… And the guy got re-elected.

flandish@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 12:26 collapse

two things can be shite at once buddy.

AlexanderTheDead@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 19:37 collapse

No one said otherwise.

The original commenter said they hadn’t seen anyone fuck up this bad since Bush. The responder is simply implying that they think the covid response was an equally bad fuck up.

flandish@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 20:30 collapse

that’s not the math I took from it. but, fair point, I reckon.

Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 03:36 collapse

fuck up worse than Bush Jr

Trump is an enemy to the US. He isn’t fucking up, we’re letting him succeed.

romantired@shibanu.app on 22 Jun 04:15 next collapse

Anyone who still thinks Trump is to blame just isn’t paying attention.

These strikes would’ve happened no matter who the president was it’s a geopolitical inevitability.

And yes, it’s becoming increasingly clear that Ukraine is in serious trouble now.

BakerBagel@midwest.social on 22 Jun 04:28 next collapse

Taiwan and South Korea probably shittting their pants right about now as well. Daddy’s about to be too busy to help out when their possed off neightcome knocking

romantired@shibanu.app on 22 Jun 05:22 collapse

They’ll be next — just not immediately. Over the next couple of years, Ukraine will likely be partitioned, and as the war with Iran de-escalates, a new conflict will be needed to fill the vacuum. That’s how the cycle tends to work.

mlg@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 04:50 collapse

I’m waiting to see if Trump/pentagon escalates or does their strike package and goes home.

I doubt this is going to lead to some sort of ground invasion. Biden would have done the exact same although maybe more clandestine.

romantired@shibanu.app on 22 Jun 05:18 next collapse

yes!

Saleh@feddit.org on 22 Jun 05:48 next collapse

Iran and its allies and proxies have to retaliate against US positions in the region. If Iran doesnt respond, they will be considered fair game for bombing whenever the US and Israel are bored. Both US and Israel just proved that diplomacy is off the table with them. Neither country speaks any language but violence.

torrentialgrain@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 06:53 collapse

I don’t know if they can, honestly. Iran has lost air superiority in their own skies as well as, reportedly, a majority of their long range missile launch sites. US bases in the near gulf states might be in range of Irans short range arsenal, but do they really want a strike into their neighbors territory? We’ll see.

Barberserk@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 06:15 collapse

What ground invasion lol, americans have zero chance invading Iran.

peoplebeproblems@midwest.social on 22 Jun 04:40 next collapse

Ugh. This kind of hits hard.

I know people who are active in the military (yes they are stupid and yes it doesn’t take much analysis to figure out they’re probably magats). In particular I know several who have been to Kuwait and seem to regularly get stationed there.

I’ve known several people who died by suicide from PTSD from Kuwait, or Iraq.

There’s a girl, she’s a sergeant. She’s in until 2028, been to Kuwait already. I don’t know if she’s even 23. She certainly doesn’t come off as a magat. But it doesn’t really matter. 23 is an adult yes. But to me? I’m 34? She’s just starting life out. To get killed in this kind of war is gross.

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 06:02 next collapse

And your point here besides pointlessly insulting everyone serving in the armed forces?

rishado@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 15:33 collapse

There’s fucking nothing traumatic happening in Kuwait right now. Or in that last 20 years for that matter. Get your head out of your ass. What is this bullshit pulling on your heartstrings fearmongering nonsense comment. “She’s been to Kuwait already” dumbass I’ve been to all the bases in Kuwait multiple times it’s chill. They train and they have a taco bell. It’s admin HQ for operations nearby

peoplebeproblems@midwest.social on 22 Jun 15:59 collapse

The PTSD folk? They were in the expelling force in '91. The others were in Iraq (mainly after 2003), and came through Kuwait.

Kuwait was chill after the Iraq regime fell.

Kuwait is right over the Persian Gulf by Iran. It won’t be chill for very long.

rishado@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 16:24 collapse

Of course the PTSD folks went through it. Though I am arguing with you I want to make it clear I meant zero disrespect or antagonization for anyone who lived through that as part of the expelling force. I was there as a citizen. My point was that your comment made it seem as if Kuwait has been a hot zone in between those times and I got upset and perhaps reacted poorly.

peoplebeproblems@midwest.social on 22 Jun 18:25 collapse

Oh, no, not at all. It’s purely about its location and importance than worry me.

AES_Enjoyer@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 05:03 next collapse

The US empire is a cancer on humanity

jaschen306@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 11:58 next collapse

Hey dude, we didn’t all vote for him

AES_Enjoyer@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 12:03 next collapse

I said empire, not president. Dems aren’t opposing the war.

jaschen306@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 14:22 collapse

Trump didn’t seek congressional approval before the strike.

Valmond@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 20:48 next collapse

He doesn’t have to, if it’s an “emergency”.

AES_Enjoyer@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 21:47 collapse

And how have democrat politicians responded?

wpb@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 13:45 next collapse

The other half voted for Biden (yes, I know, different election, but they did, minus rounding errors). 17.8 billion in military aid to Israel under his leadership, in addition to the 3.8 billion a year for an entire decade that Obama set up. It is not the president, it’s not the GOP, it’s the country. When Harris bragged at the DNC that she would make the US military the most lethal fighting force on the planet, do you feel like she was implying that she would have them sit on their hands?

rabber@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 14:07 collapse

Half of you did. What a dumb nation

jaschen306@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 14:22 next collapse

These young kids are a waste of life…

ameancow@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 16:59 next collapse

You’re right, and what you need to understand is that the reason half of our idiots voted for an idiot is because we allowed corporations to atomize society so people didn’t mix anymore, we don’t have shared perspectives of the world anymore, everyone gets their information about literally everything algorithmically. This atomization of society is what took down the USA and it’s coming for you next if it’s not already happening wherever you are.

Hotzilla@sopuli.xyz on 22 Jun 18:34 collapse

Not even close half, us democracy is a joke that loser can win and not everyone gets to vote. 22,5% of US population voted for trump. That is still way too much, but it is still minority.

ameancow@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 16:50 collapse

Almost every American just wants to stay home and play video games, we didn’t want any of this. We wanted healthcare.

AES_Enjoyer@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 21:48 next collapse

I fully agree: Americans need to liberate themselves from the chains of their government. Join a local socialist organization, mutual aid, or union

HazyHerbivore@lemm.ee on 23 Jun 00:06 collapse

They should vote that way then, being dumbasses serves no-one good

palarith@aussie.zone on 22 Jun 05:14 next collapse

Hello world war 3.

It’s being nice knowing you, humans

lemmydividebyzero@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 05:33 collapse

Doesn’t a world war require someone backing Iran? Or do you mean “the whole world vs Iran”?

Russia is busy, Hamas is not available, Hisbollah is not available, Syria is not interested anymore, Huthis will send a few rockets again…

palarith@aussie.zone on 22 Jun 06:00 next collapse

Well. China will invade Taiwan, pearl harbouring us bases in Japan before hand.

Bada Bing. Bada boom. Shooting war starts

lemmydividebyzero@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 06:16 next collapse

When China invades Taiwan, that itself has a lot of potential for escalation. Bada Bing. Bada boom. Iran might be completely irrelevant in such a war.

torrentialgrain@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 06:42 collapse

How is Iran even a factor in that case then?

Adderbox76@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 12:30 collapse

How was tiny little Serbia a factor triggering WW1?

Little things spiral into bigger things, which then spiral into yet bigger things.

WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 06:12 next collapse

This could very easily spiral into a full-on WW3 scenario. Note, WW3 may not look like what you expect it to look like. We’ve been culturally conditioned to think WW3 will look like thousands of mushroom clouds over major cities, but that need not be the case. WW3 could be a large conventional war just like the previous world wars.

Russia is already bogged down in Ukraine, and the US and NATO are supplying them. Israel is at war with a half a dozen countries, and the US is supporting them, including directly entering the war on Iran. The danger of WW3 lies is revealed when you ask, why did Israel choose this time to attack Iran? They chose to because now was simply the perfect opportunity. With Iran’s proxy fighters around Israel devastated, with the Gaza a smoking ruin, Iranian power is lower than it has been in years. That’s why they decided to do this now - kick them while they’re down.

Us getting bogged down in Iran, however, presents other countries with their own windows of opportunity. And the biggest one is China invading Taiwan. China has been saber-rattling and openly planning an invasion of Taiwan, to be done at some point in the next few years. What better time to launch it than when the US has already been depleting their limited weapon stocks in Ukraine, and just got bogged down in Iran?

China is already involved in the Ukraine conflict; they’re one of Russia’s biggest suppliers. Iran also is a Russian ally, providing them thousands of drones. The alliance system of a potential world war is already laid out. It would be Russia/Iran/China vs the US, NATO, and assorted allies.

This would be unlikely to end up in a full nuclear exchange. Direct invasion of the homelands of Russia, China, or the US are not going to happen. But we could see multiple large conventional armed conflicts breaking out in multiple theaters, a conflict between two vast alliance systems that between them encompass most of the world’s population.

If that isn’t a world war, I don’t know what is. Nukes don’t need to fly to have a conflict that leaves millions dead.

lemmydividebyzero@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 06:30 next collapse

Us getting bogged down in Iran, however, presents other countries with their own windows of opportunity. And the biggest one is China invading Taiwan. China has been saber-rattling and openly planning an invasion of Taiwan, to be done at some point in the next few years. What better time to launch it than when the US has already been depleting their limited weapon stocks in Ukraine, and just got bogged down in Iran?

IMO, there is a lot of conjuntive in it.

For now, there were only bombs on nuclear facilities from the US side… No foot troops getting bogged down. Nothing getting bogged down for now…

You can always imagine how something could link to a word war. That would have already worked for Ukraine. That would have worked with Afghanistan as well.

The question is how realistic it is. I’m not a fan of painting the devil on the wall by declaring WW3 myself on Lemmy and saying goodbye to others…

torrentialgrain@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 06:41 next collapse

US weapons stockpiles aren’t depleted in the slightest. You guys sent your old stuff to Ukraine and not much more, and you haven’t sent anything substantial in over a year.

Iran will, most likely, not involve more than an air campaign and the US can do that with a bomber wing and a carrier strike group. I can’t imagine a case where this evolves into a full invasion (but of course with trump you can never be sure).

If anything, seeing Iran getting dominated by Israel and the US would probably give China some doubts about a possible operation against Taiwan.

Witchfire@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:34 collapse

It would be Russia/Iran/China vs the US, NATO, and assorted allies.

I honestly don’t think the US has its traditional allies any more. Why should Canada get involved in defense of a bully who is threatening to invade it?

Israel is the third variable in the equation since everyone is subservient to it, so who knows what will happen there

WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 17:42 collapse

Why should Canada get involved in defense of a bully who is threatening to invade it?

Precisely so it doesn’t end up on the wrong side and end up getting invaded.

Robust_Mirror@aussie.zone on 22 Jun 13:24 next collapse

Pakistan could back Iran while India backs Israel. It has the potential to escalate.

lemmydividebyzero@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 14:47 collapse

There is never 0 potential for escalation in a world political context. The question is how realistic it is…

And Pakistan and Iran are not really best buddies. There is also the potential of them attacking each other. edition.cnn.com/2024/01/18/world/…/index.html

Furthermore: From a few weeks ago, we already know that it doesn’t need Iran for India and Pakistan to attack each other… Last time, it did not end in a world war.

Witchfire@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:27 collapse

The US is going to war with Iran on behalf of Israel. Russia is at war with Ukraine. Russia is Iran’s ally. The US thinks it’s Russia’s ally. The EU is supposed to be helping Ukraine. Israel is on a conquest mission, backed by the US, to colonize the Middle East. India and Pakistan have their thing going on. The US is threatening to invade Mexico, Canada, and Greenland. And that’s just a small slice of the world.

Do you not see how this can easily spiral into an absolute clusterfuck?

wanderwisley@lemm.ee on 22 Jun 05:28 next collapse

Happy 3rd war in the Middle East everyone!

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 06:00 next collapse

Sure glad we dodged that Harris bullet though, right guys! I super wish I hadn’t voted like all the other cool kids though.

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 12:02 next collapse

I have to say, the one good part of Trump in office is at least you lot aren’t lecturing people on why invading Iran is good, actually!

SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 12:32 next collapse
  • W. Bush says Iran is in Axis of Evil bullshit basically telling Iran “you’re next!” while invading Iraq. Iran starts a nuclear program in response.
  • Obama fixed things by making a treaty with Iran, and got the Nobel Peace Prize (though not in that order which was a bit weird, but whatever)
  • Trump cancels that treaty and assassinates an Iranian General
  • Biden tries to restore the Obama treaty, but Iran doesn’t trust the US (wonder why?). So no treaty, but also no war with Iran.
  • Trump gets in again drops some really big bombs on Iran

“BOTH SIDES!” say both the MAGAs and leftists in unison.

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 13:19 next collapse

Yeah, you’re right. I’m sure the Democrats would not have supported Israel in Iran, same as how they didn’t support Israel in Yemen, or in Lebanon, or in Gaza, or in Syria, or in…

SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 13:54 next collapse

You’re doing the leftist reductive thing so complex issues become a simplistic “it’s all the system, man…”

This doesn’t make you look as clever as you think it does. It’ll eventually turn you into a conspiracy nut where everything is because of “them”. Please make an effort to stay on topic.

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 15:09 next collapse

Oh, it’s not the “system, man”, it’s you. As in, you, @SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca, personally. You are the exact person I’m thinking about when I say this, and it’s frankly amazing you decided to throw your hat in ring here, while simultaneously defending attacks on Iran elsewhere.

fuckdaddy@lemmy.cafe on 22 Jun 20:12 collapse

Aren’t you the genocide denialist?

Edit:

What we’ve seen from “alternative media” is a deliberate attempt to create a false equivalency between what Hamas did (genocide) and what Israel id doing (war). The video we’re commenting under now is one of many such reports.

Aged like milk.

SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 20:36 collapse

Do you deny that Iran is committing genocide. Then you’re the genocide denialist!

Or maybe we shouldn’t weaponize the word genocide and discuss serious issues like adults instead of playing word games?

fuckdaddy@lemmy.cafe on 22 Jun 21:11 next collapse

On the internet words like terrorist, fascist, and genocide seemingly has lost all meaning. It’s just an expression of dumb emotions.

SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 22:28 collapse

Yeah pretty much. Which is a little disturbing because with the waters so muddied, it makes it difficult to know when these things are really happening.

It’s already a problem when you say a country is fascist because the reply is often “well people call everything fascist now.” And they aren’t wrong.

Soon it will be “people call everything a genocide now.” The power of these words are getting diluted by attention seekers. It’s becoming a word that no longer grabs attention anymore.

fuckdaddy@lemmy.cafe on 22 Jun 21:13 collapse

They may enter definitional or rhetorical argumentation.

SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 22:21 collapse

We’re reading wikipedia now?

Here’s some nice light reading on wikipedia for you: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blood_libel

Witchfire@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:22 collapse

If Kamala had won, I (trans latina) would not have had to flee the US. But they’re both the exact same amirite? (I’m honestly a little grateful for that. The US is trash. I’m never moving back)

Edit: my point is that people are literally fleeing the US because it’s a sinking ship. Under Kamala, immigration and tourism wouldn’t have changed much

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:42 next collapse

…Here’s a thought exercise for you: The year is 2028, Trump is running for a third term, and the Dem ticket is… IDK, Newsom/Buttigieg or whatever, and the big thinkers of the DNC have come up with a foolproof plan to steal away MAGA voters: they will agree with exterminating trans people, but! BUT! will firmly, and I mean FIRMLY stand behind gay marriage. And you’re trying to explain that both of those choices are unacceptable to you, and in response are met with an avalanche of mockery because “sure, yeah, one side wants gay marriage banned, but they’re both the exact same amirite?

Seriously, though, best of luck. Not to assume stuff about your situation, but getting out sooner rather than later sounds like a good move.

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 21:15 collapse

Here’s a thought exercise for you:

Try it for a fucking change.

fuckdaddy@lemmy.cafe on 22 Jun 20:12 next collapse

Ah yes you’re the victim in this story

Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 22 Jun 21:03 collapse

I would be alright”.

wpb@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 13:42 collapse

Obama fixed things by making a treaty with Iran, and got the Nobel Peace Prize (though not in that order which was a bit weird, but whatever)

I don’t understand how anyone could be so blatant about their own mental gymnastics.

SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca on 22 Jun 13:49 collapse

Are you not aware of the treaty? en.wikipedia.org/…/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Ac…

Or are you not aware that Obama won the Noble Peace Prize?

Or maybe you just don’t have a sense of humour so you think a joke about Obama getting the Nobel Prize before doing the treaty is “mental gymnastics”?

wpb@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 14:10 collapse

Ah, sorry a lot of folks here are getting a bit wacky with apologia, and I could see them actually putting forward the nobel peace price as an argument for Obama not being a war criminal, so I did take it a bit too seriously. Poe’s law I guess. My apologies!

That said, he is a war criminal though, and I feel like you’re cherry picking little bits out of all the presidencies to confirm your point.

Here’s an example in the other direction, maybe it’ll help you see how unconvincing an argument you’re making:

  • Clinton: illegal bombing of Yugoslavia, sanctions in Iraq that have been estimated to kill 500k children.
  • Obama accelerated the drone program, killing 10s of thousands of Afghanis. Under his leadership, and entire wedding party was murdered in Yemen. Pledged 3.8 billion dollars a year for a decade in military aid to the apartheid ethnostate Israel as they were regularly bombing the Gaza strip. Pledged not to persecute the CIA operarives who carried out the torture of uncharged civilians.
  • Trump withdrew from Afghanistan.
  • Biden sent 17.9 billion dollars in nilitary aid to Israel as they were carrying out the genocide in Gaza. Bombed Syria.

You’ll note that I omitted Bush. He was really bad. Like, Hitler bad. Not a redeeming quality about him.

At any rate the point is that every single president since Eisenhower, every single one, no exceptions, has been a war criminal, and pretending that any one of them was pro peace is a joke.

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 21:14 collapse

Well, at least your inability to do the bare minimum to keep a tyrant king from being elected resulted in you being able to find a bright side to all the suffering he has caused.

So happy for you

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 21:35 collapse

Man, you Americans really do think everything is some foreigner’s fault?

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 23 Jun 04:30 collapse

Well, when a clown pops in to argue against a comment that calls out AMERICANS that refused to vote in protest, one would assume said clown is American.

Forgive me, clown. The fault is my own.

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 23 Jun 06:32 collapse

The fact that you think the constant whining and blamecasting at nobody in particular constitutes a callout speaks volumes. And the fact that your first resort on being challenged is a barrage of insults speaks even more. Someone more intellectually minded might even use it as a jumping off point for some introspection, or see the parallel with US politics in general and foreign policy in particular - but, of course, that would risk recognizing the nose and rainbow hair as the reflection in the window pane that they are.

Honk-honk, Buttons. Honk-honk.

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 23 Jun 07:36 collapse

Cool story. But, I’m not going to get into a senseless slap fight with someone that is irrelevant to the topic, so you’re going to have to just go find the argument you’re so clearly desperate for- somewhere else.

Eyck_of_denesle@lemmy.zip on 23 Jun 19:22 collapse

Yeah sure. Kamala would never support Israel. Y’all are so braindead lol.

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 23 Jun 21:38 collapse

Kamala wouldn’t have started a war, and it’s pretty safe to assume she wouldn’t have done ANY of the additional kazillion crimes Trump has committed.

But sure. You go ahead and keep up the ruse that both sides are the same. I’ll ask though, that you take a look around and see that less and less people are buying that bullshit every day.

Eyck_of_denesle@lemmy.zip on 24 Jun 12:15 collapse

I’m not an American so what I see maybe different than what you see. But you know you would be lying if you say US would just allow iran to bomb tel aviv and sit watching. Both sides may not be same but both of em are held by balls by Israel.

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 24 Jun 22:15 collapse

I wouldn’t be lying because I don’t presume to know what would happen. You see, I’m one of those rare Americans that understand nuance- and how it actually works in the real world.

And through the use of this magical skill of nuance, I am able to understand, that the entire conflict with Iran, Israel, and Palestine is far more compacted than what a random blowhard on a podunk backwoods social media platform tries to assume.

There are more moving parts to this than you will ever understand. But that surely doesn’t stop you from trying to look like you know what you’re taking about, does it?

The point is- what we DO know, Harris wouldn’t be illegally deporting tens of thousands of people. She would t have abolished trans rights and gutted their healthcare. She wouldn’t have installed Elon and his good squad into America’s financial system. She wouldn’t have put a lunatic antivaxer in charge of our healthcare.

This we know. And I will debate this. However, to avoid coming off looking like people like you- I tend to avoid arguing about things I can’t know enough about to be certain.

Do better.

Eyck_of_denesle@lemmy.zip on 25 Jun 04:01 collapse

None of that is about intervening in the war. Do better.

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 25 Jun 06:38 collapse

ALL of it is relevant to my original point-which I’m not letting you distract from as you kids seem to love doing. And as long as I stick to the topic, everything you have to say will be irrelevant to it.

Eyck_of_denesle@lemmy.zip on 26 Jun 04:19 collapse

You might actually be slow. You are the one that’s being irrelevant. Anyways you made up your mind. I can’t change it. Like it or not Israel is your president. Kiss their boots like you have been doing for the last century

WrenFeathers@lemmy.world on 26 Jun 07:15 collapse

Grow up, kid.

Barberserk@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 06:12 next collapse

Yankee go home. And stay there.

ameancow@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:04 collapse

When the corporations start dividing your population and guaranteeing their own interests over democracy, look at what happened to us and learn from it. It doesn’t stop here.

[deleted] on 22 Jun 07:31 next collapse
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jaschen306@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 11:59 collapse

Hey dude, we didn’t all vote for him

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 12:06 collapse

You remember when Russia invaded Ukraine, and the whole western world collectively decided being Russian made you ontologically evil?

Well, that.

jaschen306@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 13:36 next collapse

Collectively Russian are good people. It’s all Putin’s fault.

Deflated0ne@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 13:52 next collapse

I’m gonna need the world to do this to us Americans after this. Make us a pariah state. Toxic. Radioactive even. The announcement of joining hands with the US or US Corporations should be met with broad condemnations and a revisiting of treaties.

Iceblade02@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 13:56 next collapse

No, no we did not. Actions by a state doesn’t justify collectively dehumanising an entire population. Gazans didn’t become inherently evil because Hamas did October 7, Chinese aren’t inherently evil because of the Uighur Genocide, Russians aren’t inherently evil because of the invasion of Ukraine…

Aqarius@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 15:15 collapse

You may think that now, but I distinctly remember the then-prime minister of Estonia and current vice-president of the EC honouring a summit where the participants were carrying around a blow-up shark. Why a shark? Well, a random Russian tourist got killed in a shark attack some time earlier, and, well, dead Russian, ha-ha.

It’s good to see the sentiment has receded somewhat, but it is concerning that it literally took the tables turning to get people to self-reflect.

Valmond@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 20:52 collapse

You mean the 1.000.000 russians who went to war? Yeah they were evil. The basic vatnic I don’t know. Putin and the Kremlin for sure.

dellish@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 08:04 next collapse

I was kinda hoping the US would collapse into civil war before they helped start WW3.

Bugger.

rozodru@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 13:30 next collapse

The drives too long for your average US Citizen. at least that was the common excuse on the other site. “Drive is too long to DC” or “I have a job that’s tied to my medical insurance” Best they could do was ONE day of protest. On a Saturday.

SuspiciousCatThing@pawb.social on 22 Jun 21:00 collapse

We can do both.

Spacehooks@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 11:51 next collapse

So usa dropping another 1 trillion and 20 years for nothing?

Isthisreddit@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 12:09 next collapse

We spent way more than one Trillion…

Spacehooks@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 12:12 collapse

Im sure it will trickle back anyday now…any… day…

Witchfire@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:20 next collapse

What do you mean for nothing? That’s $1Tril going to Trump’s buddies! /s

Spacehooks@reddthat.com on 22 Jun 23:28 collapse

Defense contractors after hearing the bombings: <img alt="" src="https://reddthat.com/pictrs/image/a9566f56-cd78-4d45-9ffc-cc8681a8707b.jpeg">

BackgrndNoize@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 17:36 next collapse

What do you mean nothing, think of all the billionaires adding more billions to their bank accounts, isn’t that what this country is all about

chronicledmonocle@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 21:48 collapse

The American war machine was getting light pocketbooks. Gotta start another conflict.

sheogorath@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 22:37 collapse

Yea, the American MIC stocks are getting outpaced by European ones, we gotta start a new war to make the stocks up!

JuxtaposedJaguar@lemmy.ml on 22 Jun 21:36 collapse

It’s called efficiency, look it up.

Anonymaus@feddit.org on 22 Jun 13:08 next collapse

When it comes to democracy in foreign countries usa always go all in war, bombing civilians… but when it comes to their own democracy they are to scared they will do/say something that will get them cancelled

M0oP0o@mander.xyz on 22 Jun 16:10 collapse

Democracy was not even mentioned by any one in the orange mans administration. The us is well past such excuses.

SoftestSapphic@lemmy.world on 22 Jun 21:29 next collapse

We need to remove this cyst of an administration before they start WW3

jaschen306@sh.itjust.works on 22 Jun 23:19 next collapse

Some of them have.

Spazz@lemmynsfw.com on 23 Jun 19:51 collapse

Fuck all you Trumpers, this is your fault