Ukraine and Europe reduced to bit players in US-Russian plan for peace (www.independent.co.uk)
from MicroWave@lemmy.world to world@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 21:44
https://lemmy.world/post/25670845

Summary

A senior White House team, led by Steve Witkoff and Mike Waltz, is traveling to Saudi Arabia to set up Ukraine peace talks, excluding both Ukraine and Europe from negotiations.

This move raises concerns about sidelining key stakeholders while favoring direct U.S.-Russia discussions. European leaders, including Macron and Starmer, are meeting in Paris to respond.

Trump’s team has hinted at lifting Russian sanctions, a stance welcomed by the Kremlin.

NATO allies are wary of U.S. inquiries on security guarantees for Ukraine, fearing strategic leaks.

#world

threaded - newest

TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 21:59 next collapse

EU needs to just say fuck it at this point and give the ultimatum that unless they and Ukraine are included with the talks, they are sending troops into Ukraine. The Polish have been itching to kill Russians for decades and to be honest, 80% of the EU has well. When that first underwater cable was cut, it should have been game on.

[deleted] on 16 Feb 22:47 collapse
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Zaktor@sopuli.xyz on 16 Feb 23:08 next collapse

Just FYI to other readers, this is just made up. Like not even “did a search and is being a little hyperbolic”, just not even in the vague realm of reality.

[deleted] on 16 Feb 23:11 next collapse
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Zaktor@sopuli.xyz on 16 Feb 23:19 next collapse

No you didn’t. Every major country has standing armies well over 100k. The entire EU has ~1.3M active duty troops.

TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 23:23 collapse
forrgott@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 23:54 next collapse

Uh no. I’ve done my research, now do some yourself. Learn to fish grasshopper.

You seemed to have misspelt “circle jerk”.

marcos@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 00:08 next collapse

The EU has some negotiations going badly on finding 100k people to keep permanently stationed in Ukraine from now on. And it’s not even a failure, it’s just that some people disagree… what never happens on the EU…

Way to turn a non-news into the weirdest false fact you can get.

Stalinwolf@lemmy.ca on 17 Feb 02:23 collapse

Did you also meticulously research how to close your comment with the lamest fucking sentence possible?

TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 23:27 collapse

Plus calling the Russian army a "peer military " is fucking hilarious after the display in Ukraine. I’m sure the asshole you’re responding to in St. Petersburg is desperately trying to avoid being sent there.

Zaktor@sopuli.xyz on 16 Feb 23:30 next collapse

Tankies are just extremely weird people.

Reverendender@sh.itjust.works on 17 Feb 00:30 collapse

Seriously. Imagine the damage like 10 Finnish snipers could do, comparatively

TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 17 Feb 00:46 next collapse

Just one fucked their shit up with a bolt action M28-30 and a submachine gun.

Imagine with all the gear they have now lol.

Dead orks. Far as the eye can see and hip deep.

Reverendender@sh.itjust.works on 17 Feb 00:58 next collapse

And if they were female snipers? Fuggedaboudit.

PetteriPano@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 06:49 collapse

A large group of Russian soldiers in the border area in 1939 are moving down a road when they hear a voice call from behind a small hill: “One Finnish soldier is better than ten Russian”.

The Russian commander quickly orders 10 of his best men over the hill where Upon a gun-battle breaks out and continues for a few minutes, then silence. The voice once again calls out: “One Finn is better than one hundred Russian.”

Furious, the Russian commander sends his next best 100 troops over the hill and instantly a huge gun fight commences. After 10 minutes of battle, again Silence. The calm Finnish voice calls out again: “One Finn is better than one thousand Russians!”

The enraged Russian commander musters 1000 fighters and sends them to the other side of the hill. Rifle fire, machine guns, grenades, rockets and cannon fire ring out as a terrible battle is fought…

Then silence.

Eventually one badly wounded Russian fighter crawls back over the hill and with his dying words tells his commander, “Don’t send any more men…it’s a trap. There’s two of them.”

tiefling@lemmy.blahaj.zone on 17 Feb 16:49 collapse

Not even FlexSeal can fix that

Blumpkinhead@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:11 next collapse

What about against the Russian military?

Buffalox@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:12 next collapse

Funny, I recently spoke with a guy from Finland, who basically claimed they could take Russia on their own.
That’s probably overstating it a bit, but in the 40’s Germany took a pretty huge chunk of the Soviet Union alone.
Only with help from USA was the Soviet Union able to resist the Germans.

Russia is thoroughly corrupt and incompetent, and even the Soviet era of willingness to die for nothing, will not help them if Europe joins in helping Ukraine in a full scale military effort.

en.wikipedia.org/…/List_of_countries_by_number_of…

France alone has 270000 troops! Just including Germany makes it almost ½ a million! Adding Italy, Spain, Poland and Greece we are easily at a full million!

This is even without counting about 20 smaller countries, and UK which is not in the EU, but would absolutely help too I’m sure.

[deleted] on 16 Feb 23:14 next collapse
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Buffalox@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:30 collapse

Oh boy, so Ukraine is most corrupt? And only a 4th the population and military of Russia, Still Ukraine has very successfully fought against Russia. So Russia in 3 years has only been able to achieve a fraction of what they claimed could be done in 3 weeks, or maybe even 3 days!
And you claim Europe combined wouldn’t do any better?!
You are a very special kind of delusional.

badwetter@kbin.melroy.org on 16 Feb 23:16 next collapse

Son/kid That's not all combat troops. I'm referring to boots on the ground, combat troops. How many rear soldiers do you think it takes to support 100 k soldiers? I bet you have no Fricken clue … Look deeper.

Buffalox@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:34 collapse

OK first you are moving the goal post, you merely wrote troops originally, now you change it to combat troops.
But yes I know the ratio is usually 1:4, meaning about 250K European COMBAT troops.

This is still way more than the 100K you claimed above.

All in all you are literally full of shit.

badwetter@kbin.melroy.org on 16 Feb 23:44 collapse

I'm not moving the goalposts. I forget that I’m talking to civilians. It takes more soldiers in the rear to support soldiers in the front. So the % of combat troops is the tip of the spear. The total number of troops means little, it's the number of troops that are the tip of the spear. The EU has little in combat capacity, and most of the equipment has been destroyed in Ukraine. So what are they going to fight with?

Buffalox@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:53 next collapse

Are you drunk?

[deleted] on 17 Feb 01:18 collapse
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Randomgal@lemmy.ca on 17 Feb 00:22 collapse

Bro can’t even read lmao

truthfultemporarily@feddit.org on 17 Feb 00:24 collapse

The Finns could probably take Russia on their own. They have been continuously preparing since the winter war. Everything is build around it, everyone has trained for it, they even test moving their entire economy to war economy on a regular basis.

badwetter@kbin.melroy.org on 17 Feb 00:26 next collapse

LMAO sure.

Buffalox@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 00:29 collapse

And there’s the infamous Finish trap, where they hide an extra troop so they are 2 in a place where the Russians think there is only 1.
The Russians simply have no counter for that!

PetteriPano@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 06:58 collapse

Taistelupari, we call it.

TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 23:24 next collapse

EU active duty as of 2020 was 1.9 million troops.

badwetter@kbin.melroy.org on 16 Feb 23:48 collapse

I don't agree with that number.

EU Combat Troop Numbers
The European Union has established EU Battlegroups, which consist of battalion-sized forces reinforced with combat support elements, typically comprising 1,500 troops each.
As of 2023, eighteen battlegroups were operational, with two being ready for deployment at any given time.
Additionally, a permanent European Union Rapid Deployment Capacity (EU RDC) consisting of up to 5,000 troops (the size of a brigade) is to be operational by 2025.
These forces are under the direct control of the Council of the European Union.
🌐
en.wikipedia.org
Defence forces of the European Union - Wikipedia
🌐
en.wikipedia.org
EU Battlegroup - Wikipedia
🌐
boell.de
The never-ending debate of the European Army and why it is unhelpful | Heinrich Böll Stiftung
🌐
en.wikipedia.org
United States military deployments - Wikipedia
🌐
en.wikipedia.org
European army - Wikipedia
🌐
eeas.europa.eu
EU Battlegroups |

OK, do you math at any one time 2 battlegroups are ready to go, that's 27,000 and not all combat troops. LOL

Skua@kbin.earth on 17 Feb 00:10 next collapse

The EU Battlegroups are not the combined militaries of the member states. They are a specific group that works directly under the EU. The vast majority of the militaries of the EU member states are not in EU Battlegroups.

Did you not actually link of of your sources because you were concerned someone might actually read them?

badwetter@kbin.melroy.org on 17 Feb 00:15 collapse

That's correct, and they're the active brigades available. I'm a soldier, it takes months to have troops ready for combat, at a minimum 6 months of training. Just because one has a relatively large military means squat. What counts is how many can go to war immediately.

Skua@kbin.earth on 17 Feb 00:20 collapse

Why do you equate "not in an EU Battlegroup" to "not able to go to war immediately"? Every EU member retains independent control of their militaries. They do not need to use the EU Battlegroup command structure. In fact they never have, and yet they have still regularly deployed troops.

[deleted] on 17 Feb 00:24 collapse
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shalafi@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 00:58 next collapse

Who is paying you to spew this? Russia is struggling to beat up their little brother, and you seem to think they’re a badass military machine.

Marleyinoc@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 01:03 collapse

You couldn’t fight your way out of the diaper you’re wearing.

truthfultemporarily@feddit.org on 17 Feb 00:16 next collapse

Maybe you should read that article you linked completely. EU battle groups are multinational rapid response forces, and merely a subset of troops the EU can muster. Germany alone has 180k active service personnel.

[deleted] on 17 Feb 00:20 collapse
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TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 17 Feb 00:51 collapse

The data doesn’t care whether you agree or not.

forrgott@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 23:53 collapse

You sound like you’d be interested in this piece of waterfront property I happen to have for sale! It is on the moon, but that just makes the views amazing, right??

Did it ever cross your mind that if there was any truth to your statement, Russia would’ve easily invaded every country in Europe by now? Oh, but I suppose facts and logic are just fancy words for lies - I mean, not like your feelings would lie to you, right???

ಠ_ಠ

badwetter@kbin.melroy.org on 17 Feb 00:00 collapse

Why would Russia want to invade? If NATO stays out of adjoining countries they won't need to. Imagine if Russia or the Chinese put troops in Mexico or Canada, what do you think the US would do? Get a damn clue, you're extremely naive.

forrgott@lemm.ee on 17 Feb 01:21 collapse

What would the US do? Not a fucking thing.

We’re not the heroes; we never were.

gsfraley@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 22:00 next collapse

Wtf are we even doing there? Even if we’re trying to sell out Ukraine, I don’t see much happening without Ukraine at the table. The motivators are going to be sticks and carrots. The best carrot I can see the US getting Ukraine is peace or ceasefire alongside the cessation of some of their land. But that ignores that Russia broached peace agreements twice in this mess. So it’s not possible to trust anything Russia offers (kudos on that 4D chess, Putin, you pathetic slobdog).

That leaves leaning on the rest of Europe and continuing the resistance as the only viable option. Unless we give them sticks, which would be insane and fully exile the US as a pariah state from the rest of the free world. It would kill trade and drop us into an instant depression. Which they might think they’re fine with, but that’s quite a shortcut to the guillotine.

TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 22:06 next collapse

The billionaire class are all done with us. They have their private bunkers with hired goons to protect them, and WANT a depression. Chaos, millions killed, bird flu unleashed, all that and more they want so they can carve out kingdoms from the ruined democracies they are targeting. That’s what they want, and Putin is more than happy to help them do it

Suoko@feddit.it on 16 Feb 22:57 next collapse

I’m waiting for an AI edited version of everyday news where current “people in charge” discuss using wise and sensible words.

Let’s use modern tools with some grain of salt

TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 23:31 collapse

Everything is fine, citizen. Go outside and kiss a pigeon. -Robot News.

Suoko@feddit.it on 17 Feb 09:37 collapse

You could still create fake nuclear attacks and sell some useless fallout shelters to some kind of people…

reksas@sopuli.xyz on 17 Feb 10:03 collapse

exposing the location of those bunkers would do wonders to world peace

badwetter@kbin.melroy.org on 16 Feb 22:44 collapse

What evidence do you have to prove that Russia broke 2 peace agreements? If you're referring to Minsk 1 and 2 that wasn't Russia who broke them. It was France and Germany, both leaders of those countries at the time, are on record indicating that The West never intended to honour those agreements. It's hard to find the evidence in Western media as it's been scrubbed (this alone should alert folks) but I found a reference in Ukrainian Pravada via Yahoo: https://www.yahoo.com/news/putin-disappointed-merkels-words-minsk-140859136.html

Skua@kbin.earth on 16 Feb 23:59 collapse
  • France and Germany weren't even signatories to the treaties save for as members of the OSCE. Their only responsibilities in the treaty were to, as part of OSCE, monitor and verify the ceasefire.
  • Nothing about either treaty says that Ukraine can't re-arm during the ceasefire, and literally the only thing Merkel said is that Ukraine used the time to re-arm.
  • Minsk I collapsed because nobody even implemented the ceasefire and then Russia launched a new offensive to take Donetsk airport. That is an explicit violation of the treaty, unlike Ukraine re-arming.
  • Minsk II collapsed when Russia launched its 2022 invasion.

Ukraine preparing for a Russian invasion is not a ceasefire violation. The leader of a country that's not even a party to the conflict saying that "it's good that Ukraine prepared" is even more thoroughly not a violation. You know what is a violation? An invasion.

orclev@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 22:29 next collapse

The rest of NATO needs to call Trump’s bluff and just start acting without the US. Hold a vote to induct Ukraine into NATO without giving the US a chance to vote on it and then deploy NATO troops into Ukraine. Russia has already been claiming that there are NATO troops there for a while now, should show him what an actual NATO defense looks like instead of a bunch of desperate Ukrainians with hand me down surplus weaponry.

[deleted] on 16 Feb 22:42 next collapse
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reksas@sopuli.xyz on 17 Feb 10:00 collapse

since russia has claimed there are nato troops in ukraine, what is actually preventing nato from sending the troops? Russia is going to invade eu anyway after awhile when kremlin feels more secure about it. By lying, didnt they blow their ultimatum regarding nato intervention too?

WHARRGARBL@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 22:40 next collapse

Honest question to someone who is a legit expert on … international treaties? geopolitics?

How the fuck can an uninvolved and uninvited country declare itself a party to negotiations for peace? Does anyone even think the US is authorized to offer concessions on behalf of an absent nation? Isn’t this entire disgusting spectacle unenforceable?

PugJesus@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:05 next collapse

Isn’t this entire disgusting spectacle unenforceable?

Yes, but Trump is far too stupid to realize that.

OhNoMoreLemmy@lemmy.ml on 16 Feb 23:35 next collapse

Yes, it’s completely unenforceable.

However, Ukraine depends on US aid and if they reject the deal they’ll have to keep fighting without it.

So they’re fucked either way.

Zaktor@sopuli.xyz on 16 Feb 23:36 collapse

There’s no such thing as “authorization”. The US can make whatever deals it likes, it doesn’t mean Ukraine has to listen. There’s no such thing as “international enforcement” in the first place, just individual nations flexing power on other nations.

US weapons are important to Ukraine, so the US could flex that power and try to make Ukraine do what it says by withholding them, but if they think they can go it alone or Europe steps up, they don’t need to listen.

Buffalox@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:02 next collapse

The main thing I got from this is that Saudi Arabia doesn’t respect an international arrest warrant on Putin.
Trump and Putin can talk all they want, without Ukraine it means nothing.

DonAntonioMagino@feddit.nl on 17 Feb 01:36 collapse

Saudi Arabia isn’t an ICC member state, though, so they don’t have to comply with the warrant (probably part of why they picked Saudi Arabia).

If they want Europe to enforce the peace in Ukraine, a ‘deal’ without Europe is meaningless as well (you’d hope, anyway. Otherwise the European establishment would agree with America treating Europe like their bitch).

stardust@lemmy.ca on 16 Feb 23:20 collapse

US is not an ally of the west.

dojan@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 23:54 next collapse

They never have been.

Jhex@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 00:12 next collapse

Or the east, or the north, or the south

stardust@lemmy.ca on 17 Feb 00:46 next collapse

Seems like they are getting close and closer to admitting to the love affair they have with Russia and getting married.

teamevil@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 00:55 collapse

Trump is definitely Putin’s bitch

uienia@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 11:59 collapse

They are a Russian ally, so that is not quite correct.

FenrirIII@lemmy.world on 17 Feb 13:27 collapse

I hate that our leaders are wannabe Imperialist swine.