It does seem that Taliban has performed various attacks on Pakistani troops in recent past. If negotiations failed, then a counterattack would be expected.

However, a war between the countries seems unlikely. Afghanistan does not have an economy capable of sustaining war, and Taliban does not have a well-equipped army. Meanwhile, Pakistan is heavily equipped.

Also, Taliban is absolutely certainly not representing the majority of the Afghan people (for example, one would struggle to find a woman supporting the harsh removal of women’s rights). The majority of the population most likely don’t want a war, and Pakistan most likely doesn’t want to conquer a foreign land.

I think this will end with Taliban’s command centers and weapons stores being bombed, after which negotiations start succeeding.

There have been reports of Taliban’s political leader Hibatullah Akhundzada dying in the bombing raids. I have not seen enough confirmation to say it has happened. If this is true, it would be a bit more complicated, they would have to choose a new leader.

Taliban India alliance incoming.

Since the Taliban was created and supported by the Pakistani intelligence service, I hope the taste of blowback sticks in their throats.