from breakfastmtn@piefed.ca to world@lemmy.world on 28 Feb 20:38
https://piefed.ca/c/world/p/561220/with-few-good-strategic-options-irans-best-prospect-may-be-to-retaliate-while-it-can
Regime could try to retain control of streets as US and Israel have expressed no intention of mounting ground invasion
Though Iranian military sites and its air defence systems were also targeted by coordinated US and Israeli bombing, beginning in the morning, the most significant attack was on Khamenei’s compound in Tehran.
. . .
Khamenei’s fate remains uncertain, but its intention was: an attempt to effect regime change in Iran through bombing and killing with no credible justification in international law. It is a tactic that is disturbingly easy to start, but its results are profoundly uncertain.
Last summer during the 12-day war with Israel, Khamenei had named three potential successors should he be killed. Reports earlier this month indicated that Khamenei had named four layers of succession for key government and military jobs, in an effort to ensure regime survival in the face of a US-Israeli attack.
“There is no sign that the US or anybody else is going to put boots on the ground, so the monopoly of force domestically remains with the Iranian regime,” said HA Hellyer, a senior fellow at the Royal United Services Institute. “The only way that changes [is] if there is an uprising with mass defections.”
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