Putin's adviser warns Russia risks new civil war and internal collapse of the nation (www.dagens.com)
from Hotznplotzn@lemmy.sdf.org to world@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 17:52
https://lemmy.sdf.org/post/45454905

cross-posted from: lemmy.sdf.org/post/45454904

Archived

Mounting economic hardship and growing public discontent could push Russia toward internal conflict, a senior Kremlin official has warned.

The stark message comes as inflation, war fatigue, and social divisions deepen across the country.

Alexander Kharichev, head of the Presidential Directorate for Monitoring and Analysing Social Processes, issued the warning in a state-run journal.

[…]

Military over social spending

Rising prices have hit ordinary Russians hard, with food costs climbing well above the national inflation rate. Businesses are struggling to stay afloat, and layoffs and bankruptcies loom large.

Despite the pressure, the Kremlin continues to prioritize military spending over social welfare.

At the same time, Russia’s workforce has been decimated by more than a million war casualties, mostly men of working age, worsening the long-term demographic decline and ageing population.

[…]

Kharichev warned of “fragmentation of society” and the “loss of Russia’s ability to fight for its survival.”

His analysis cited the growing erosion of public trust in government and widening rifts within Russian society.

[…]

#world

threaded - newest

UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 18:17 next collapse

“Russia risks new Lenin”

skvlp@lemmy.wtf on 11 Nov 18:37 next collapse

Yay! 😃🍿

skvlp@lemmy.wtf on 11 Nov 18:40 next collapse

Incoming headline:

senior Kremlin official dies of suicide after shooting himself in the back of the head 3 times after falling out of 10th floor window.

Know_not_Scotty_does@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 19:10 next collapse

It’s especially impressive that he mananged to do that with his hands tied behind his back. Some people are just determined I guess.

peoplebeproblems@midwest.social on 11 Nov 21:52 next collapse

Stuffed inside of a bag he put himself in.

Tollana1234567@lemmy.today on 12 Nov 04:59 collapse

injuries consistent of a 10story fall, from a 2-story building. or fell off a boat or plane. or the PLANE exploded.

blave@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 19:20 collapse

Cause of death: ricin poisoning

Tollana1234567@lemmy.today on 12 Nov 05:00 collapse

putin stopped using it, its defenestration or novichik posioning.

skvlp@lemmy.wtf on 12 Nov 22:18 collapse

Because the prices kept on ricin?

ChicoSuave@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 18:50 next collapse

<img alt="" src="https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/492e31ca-b171-4de4-835d-2e2d4fb09727.gif">

theoneandonlyeggboi@lemmings.world on 12 Nov 08:48 collapse

I really wish there was a setting to hide images automatically.

blave@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 19:20 next collapse

Well, that took long enough. The Russian people should be in revolt.

ameancow@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 21:34 collapse

“Ivan, pull the lever to lower the price of vodka a leetle bit more, the peasants need to be pacified.”

blave@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 21:44 next collapse

“But, Gregor, we are the peasants!”

blazeknave@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 01:41 collapse

Rethinking my EU5-related life choices right now

panda_abyss@lemmy.ca on 11 Nov 20:01 next collapse

I’ll believe it even I see it, just like any Trump news.

meep_launcher@sh.itjust.works on 12 Nov 00:59 next collapse

Yep. History curves to justice my ass.

We didn’t start the fire, we didn’t light it but we tried to fight it. And fucking failed the open book test each time.

avidamoeba@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 03:32 next collapse

Seriously. Russia was supposed to collapse in 2023. Then in 2024. Then in 2025. Putin was sick and he was about to die. Endless supply of hopium. At this point I consider it all fake news until proven otherwise. Also there was the recent Money & Macro economic analysis that contradicts a lot of the hopium theories. And there’s the whole contradiction between impending economic collapse and lauching war on NATO countries. The two are mutually exclusive.

olafurp@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 10:26 collapse

Yeah, with Putin’s approval at 80% it’s hard to see a civil war happening any time soon.

ZILtoid1991@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 10:35 collapse

Sometimes things go out with a bang. There’s a good chance that Putin’s regime also survives it with only some regions falling out with it first.

Ilovethebomb@sh.itjust.works on 11 Nov 21:09 next collapse

What’s incredible is this wouldn’t be the first time Russia has spent such an insane amount of money on a futile war they absolutely collapse.

neidu3@sh.itjust.works on 11 Nov 22:01 next collapse

As soon as it became clear how much russia botched the invasion initially, I’ve thought of vovka as Tsar Nicolas III

WoodScientist@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 22:12 collapse

Be careful what you wish for. We might end up with Soviet Union Two: Electric Boogaloo.

dubyakay@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 01:20 next collapse

Maybe they’ll get it right this time and will be more resilient to capitalist interference.

blazeknave@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 01:40 collapse

Yeah… That was the problem…

ZombieMantis@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 01:24 next collapse

Maybe this time they won’t dismantle the worker’s councils after the revolution, that’d be nice.

Kirp123@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 02:50 collapse

We’ll get Stalin 2.0.

ZombieMantis@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 03:19 next collapse

As in, an improvement on the original (fewer famines) model? Or an upgraded, more effective (bigger famines) model?

WoodScientist@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 06:35 collapse

2040: A group of Neo-Bolsheviks seize control of Russia, fully intending to literally make fully automated luxury gay space communism real. Imagine a publicly owned vast automated supply chain that produced goods at scale with little human effort. Go full tilt on automation of all kinds, but direct all profits to the general welfare. Maybe do away with money entirely. It would start with a genuine utopian dream.

2060: Neo-Stalin rules over what was once Russia. Its human population, long since more trouble than they were worth, were largely done away with. The population of the country is approximately 2300. Yet the combined industrial output of the automated leviathan that sprawls over what was once the Moscow-St. Petersburg corridor now exceeds that of the PRC. And a frightening fraction of that is directed towards military purposes. Their population reduced to a handful of oligarchs still controls the first, second, or third most powerful military in the world, depending on form of measure.

Twig@sopuli.xyz on 12 Nov 10:33 collapse

or maybe Trotsky 2.0

psoul@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 18:40 collapse

Can we get the Czechoslovak legion involved? They sounded so cool.

Waiting for international women’s day any day now.

samus12345@sh.itjust.works on 11 Nov 23:24 collapse

Collapsing is a proud Russian tradition. And now the US gets to do it with them!

explodicle@sh.itjust.works on 12 Nov 05:08 collapse

We couldn’t afford the Vietnam war. The Nixon Shock sealed our fate - it’s just been very gradual.

CatsPajamas@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 12 Nov 08:43 collapse

Iraq cost ~3x what Vietnam did. But I’m not really disagreeing.

drmoose@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 17:32 next collapse

I’m not saying Iraq was not awful but at least it got US some oil domination which is a lot of return, Vietnam got nothing.

zebidiah@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 19:44 next collapse

Well sure we had one, but what about second Iraq? Regime changies?? Afternoon Bombsies???

Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip on 13 Nov 00:21 collapse

Except Vietnam had a draft, and we’re still paying out for those vets.

NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io on 11 Nov 21:13 next collapse

Russia is a colonial abomination that shoud not exist, so that's pretty decent news.

ameancow@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 21:32 next collapse

It’s not so much a nation as it is a very large swath of land nobody wants to live in, controlled by a somewhat organized crime syndicate who gained control of some production and defense capabilities like petroleum and nuclear weapons.

Calling them “colonial” almost makes it seem more systematic and organized than what it is, it’s kleptocracy and they are trying to steal land with resources from targets of opportunity.

ODGreen@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 01:01 collapse

Considering Putin used a colonial war in Chechnya to consolidate power, it very much is a colonial state.

Danquebec@sh.itjust.works on 12 Nov 03:18 collapse

Don’t you mean “imperial”? I take “colonial” to mean that it would itself be a colony.

LibertyLizard@slrpnk.net on 12 Nov 04:39 collapse

I’d say both, colonialism is sort of a subtype of imperialism where the conquered territories get settled by the ruling people. Russia has engaged in this for a long time.

Schmoo@slrpnk.net on 12 Nov 00:07 collapse

It won’t be great news after the civil war ends up being between fascist and fascister.

shalafi@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 21:27 next collapse

Just said that in front of world+dog? 🫨 Even saying that on air would be shocking, but in an official government journal?! Meanwhile, in America, no one in government would have the balls to say such a thing and would be immediately removed if they did so.

peoplebeproblems@midwest.social on 11 Nov 21:51 next collapse

I mean those are probably better ways to incite a civil war than by provoking protestors.

But what do I know

khepri@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 23:39 next collapse

That guy better stay on the ground floor for the rest of his life. Anything higher up than oh say about 30 feet gets so darn slippery this time of year in Moscow that you just wouldn’t believe it.

kautau@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 23:47 next collapse

And stay away from tea too. And silenced handguns aimed at the back of the head. Just so many accidental ways people are dying nowadays

khepri@lemmy.world on 11 Nov 23:52 next collapse

I hear the Polonium is lovely this time of year…

IphtashuFitz@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 01:59 collapse

I recently heard Vladimir Kara-Murza, a Russian political dissident, give a talk. He survived two attempted poisonings among other things. He described how the current method of poisoning is for Putin’s henchmen to sneak into your home and put polonium into your underwear. So this guy might want to consider walking around naked for a while as well…

groupofcrows@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 11:25 collapse

Russian technology is so advance that high rise balconies exist everywhere, including basements and submarines.

NigelFrobisher@aussie.zone on 12 Nov 01:28 next collapse

In Russia this is called “Tuesday”.

manuallybreathing@lemmy.ml on 12 Nov 02:41 next collapse

Sources: Reuters, BBC, AP, Express

This article is made and published by Jens Asbjørn Bogen, who may have used AI in the preparation

haha okayyyyy

Sunflier@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 03:26 next collapse

Rising prices have hit ordinary Russians hard, with food costs climbing well above the national inflation rate. Businesses are struggling to stay afloat, and layoffs and bankruptcies loom large.

Despite the pressure, the Kremlin continues to prioritize military spending over social welfare.

Seems familiar

His analysis cited the growing erosion of public trust in government and widening rifts within Russian American society.

FTFY

antonim@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 12 Nov 03:38 collapse

<img alt="" src="https://lemmy.dbzer0.com/pictrs/image/c35942a8-e451-430e-bfb5-097aa55ecd4e.webp">

Sunflier@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 03:45 collapse

Maybe you can show me how and lead by example?

antonim@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 12 Nov 03:55 collapse

Just stop trying to make everything be about the US, for god’s sake.

finitebanjo@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 04:10 next collapse

I kinda doubt that the CCP will allow Russia to collapse before the USA. Like a world power balancing act.

SabinStargem@lemmy.today on 12 Nov 04:55 collapse

I think China would buy Russian territory at rock bottom prices, or simply seize it. It would be far easier way to achieve glory and wealth than trying to take Taiwan.

lordbritishbusiness@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 05:03 collapse

Probably, but those aren’t the reasons they want Taiwan which is more of an ideological goal.

The answer: “Both”.

SabinStargem@lemmy.today on 12 Nov 05:52 collapse

The problem with Taiwan for China is that it is a risky bet. Undoubtedly it would be proof of having the Mandate of Heaven if successfully taken, but also evidence of not being worthy if it results in failure. Biting off haunches of a weakened Russia is a much less risky proposition, with an good payoff.

tym@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 11:31 collapse

I recently learned about the history of China/Taiwan and how mainland China is essentially the coup regime and Taiwan is the original guard who refuses to capitulate. It’s technically a civil war that never ended.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Civil_War

resipsaloquitur@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 04:24 next collapse

So it’s a race, is it? USA! USA! USA!

explodicle@sh.itjust.works on 12 Nov 05:02 next collapse

Wouldn’t it be great if all the empires collapsed and everybody just like, learned their lesson?

whyNotSquirrel@sh.itjust.works on 12 Nov 08:22 next collapse

hahaha

_Nico198X_@europe.pub on 12 Nov 08:51 next collapse

omg what a happy world if both the US and Russia balkanized.

blinfabian@feddit.nl on 12 Nov 10:46 collapse

literally everyone when an empire collapses:

<img alt="" src="https://feddit.nl/pictrs/image/fcc15c4d-072f-4810-8183-500896ac6d10.jpeg">

CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org on 12 Nov 17:13 collapse

I’m sorry, I think they have a lead. You (?) can come up from behind and get ahead afterwards, though, like in the space race!

resipsaloquitur@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 18:22 collapse

I do enjoying coming from behind.

Tollana1234567@lemmy.today on 12 Nov 04:59 next collapse

if russia is going to civil war, thier troll farms will be silent on social media for a while, thats a good thing.

pigup@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 05:25 next collapse
SkaveRat@discuss.tchncs.de on 12 Nov 10:56 next collapse

poligonal ursae in shambles

drmoose@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 17:29 next collapse

Sometimes I reminisce how real the internet was before the propaganda machines took over :(

demonsword@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 18:10 collapse

How the fuck a comment like this can have this many upvotes?

if russia is going to civil war, thier troll farms will be silent on social media for a while, thats a good thing. possibly thousands of people would be killed, thousands more would have their lives upended, there would be even more thousands of refugees flooding in all of Russia’s neighbors.

But you would maybe have your “peace” on social media. Yeah, good for you.

badgermurphy@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 20:00 next collapse

I don’t think the poster meant that a Russian civil war will be nice for his online experience.

There is substantial belief in the western world that Russia is using these “troll farms” to destabilize foreign governments. If true, that would be considered by many to be an act of aggression that he and many others would welcome the end of. The fact that a period of strife in Russia is what caused would be unfortunate, but the fact remains.

demonsword@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 21:29 collapse

There is substantial belief in the western world that Russia is using these “troll farms” to destabilize foreign governments.

Yes, I’m aware. And that’s entirely on their government. Putin and others below him should be blamed, not he entirety of the people who lives in Russia.

The fact that a period of strife in Russia is what caused would be unfortunate

When talking about a possible civil war, “unfortunate” is such a weak euphemism. People would die, lots of them.

Squizzy@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 20:14 collapse

Ah for fuck sake can you not cpnsider the implications of what is being said rather than jumping right on to defending a dangerous, unpredictable nuclear power.

Frankly I hope they do fall to a civil war, even if loads die at least they will be fighting amongst themselves and not kidnapping Ukrainian kids to groom or send to the frontline.

Its either they are making the world worse or russia worse, I know which one I prefer.

Think of the children…

demonsword@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 21:34 collapse

This is pure, undistilled xenophobia. By that logic anyone living under an undesirable government should just die. Well, guess what? A sizable part of the world is under bad government in one way or another. Should I be whishing the USA blows up too? Maybe we should all collectively just shoot ourselves in the head then?

vga@sopuli.xyz on 12 Nov 05:58 next collapse

I’ve been hearing this for 2 years. How’s Putin’s cancer doing, by the way?

_Nico198X_@europe.pub on 12 Nov 08:45 collapse

it was, and remains, a real consequential threat of Putin’s course of action. but these things are rarely quick, until they begin.

fittedsyllabi@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 09:03 next collapse

Hooray!

theacharnian@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 11:44 next collapse

According to Vlad Vexler, in Russian political/bureaucratic culture this is not to be understood as real analysis and more to be understood as functionaries pitching themselves as useful to Putin: youtu.be/ZJryUKULZ_E

drmoose@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 17:27 collapse

Love Vlad Vexler, he nailed almost everything since the war started. Russia is actually not that complex, it’s just a very big gang really.

BilSabab@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 11:57 next collapse

Makes sense if the goal is to replicate 1917 to bring Bolsheviks to power… oh wait…

melsaskca@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 12:11 next collapse

Putin and Trump, and their respective countries, have lots in common. It’s almost like they’re marching in lock-step.

freebee@sh.itjust.works on 12 Nov 13:19 collapse

Yes. But trump isn’t sending thousands of soldiers every week to die in the meat grinder… yet.

paperazzi@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 13:55 next collapse

He’s working hard on catching up, no worries.

melsaskca@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 16:47 collapse

And he doesn’t even have to invade. He will kill his own people using his minions.

peaceful_world_view@lemmy.world on 13 Nov 01:43 collapse

Just wait

amos@mander.xyz on 12 Nov 13:22 next collapse

Yes please. Something good for once. That country is the source of so much suffering in the world.

Dasus@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 14:31 next collapse

<img alt="" src="https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/954600dd-5191-4dcd-b425-d765c0ee3f4f.gif">

Lushed_Lungfish@lemmy.ca on 12 Nov 16:53 next collapse

I think Mr. Kharichev is about to get window’d.

floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 12 Nov 17:03 next collapse

Defenestrated

BanMe@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 18:39 collapse

Onto a trampoline where he bounced back in, and was refenestrated.

And then they injected polonium in his veins, the end

CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org on 12 Nov 17:09 next collapse

Indeed. If this happened it seems unwise - even if it was part of an essay suggesting doubling down on Putinist “family values”. I don’t recognise the source, though, and not much else comes up that I trust more on a search.

Edit: I found this. Maybe it’s time to get my Russian practice in. The title does indeed read as described, at least.

SippyCup@lemmy.ml on 13 Nov 00:14 next collapse

Every once in a while a story like this gets published and it occupies the news cycle for a little bit. They always end up being nothing.

A few years ago Putin was reportedly on his death bed. Prior to that he had aggressive Parkinson’s and would resign in 6 months.

I suspect this is just a smoke screen for something else.

barnaclebutt@lemmy.world on 13 Nov 01:48 collapse
Siegfried@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 17:01 next collapse

Why are you, Mr Kharichev, so interested in windows?

Bazell@lemmy.zip on 12 Nov 18:49 next collapse

Finally some clever words about reality. But I doubt that he will listen anyway.

Grimtuck@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 20:34 collapse

He’ll be seen in a gulag and then never seen again

Jaysyn@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 21:50 next collapse

Good. Die faster, Russia.

bitjunkie@lemmy.world on 12 Nov 23:25 next collapse

FAFO

VinesNFluff@pawb.social on 12 Nov 23:33 next collapse

That would be pretty neat, which means it won’t happen.

thatradomguy@lemmy.world on 13 Nov 00:27 next collapse

It’s crazy how much it start to seem like Russia and the US are like 2 sides to the same coin. It’s almost like a small minority of persons with highly lethal weapons give them some sort of complex that leads them to believe they can make decision for everybody else at the cost of other people’s livelihood.

devolution@lemmy.world on 13 Nov 03:26 next collapse

Russians ain’t doing shit. The people are so sorry they accept anything and only export grief. Slavic extinction is the best thing for world stability.

blockheadjt@sh.itjust.works on 13 Nov 04:00 collapse

Anyone hoping this means they stop funding scammers to trick Americans into voting against their best interests, too bad, that’s one of their best revenue streams.